Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.798946 4.051285 4.321905 4.635491 4.991155 5.384811 5.857439
2024-10-13 3.421586 3.748143 4.115863 4.565979 5.109850 5.756503 6.600918
2024-10-20 3.123096 3.490751 3.920485 4.469990 5.169943 6.056313 7.308870
2024-10-27 2.856744 3.242951 3.707736 4.323392 5.143122 6.240291 7.909414
2024-11-03 2.757285 3.186217 3.720251 4.458235 5.496685 6.991331 9.513531
2024-11-10 2.692852 3.166127 3.775504 4.654921 5.967783 8.019857 11.958545
2024-11-17 2.540847 3.020487 3.651575 4.588885 6.046348 8.465235 13.607954
2024-11-24 2.393588 2.870402 3.508744 4.479377 6.041268 8.773569 15.173292
2024-12-01 2.276501 2.752925 3.401513 4.410785 6.091994 9.200293 17.327749
2024-12-08 2.179017 2.655869 3.315434 4.364949 6.174152 9.715923 20.202766
2024-12-15 2.127972 2.619564 3.313414 4.449977 6.501259 10.854034 26.563242
2024-12-22 2.034535 2.517937 3.207731 4.355833 6.482411 11.215939 30.733837
2024-12-29 1.974575 2.470319 3.193738 4.438554 6.876543 12.927717 48.923316
2025-01-05 1.881556 2.369399 3.091081 4.358929 6.932968 13.820993 70.900751
2025-01-12 1.792376 2.269326 2.982945 4.258744 6.930745 14.588835 109.416538
2025-01-19 1.701803 2.162643 2.857569 4.115173 6.807909 14.929104 166.377425
2025-01-26 1.671267 2.144131 2.871754 4.231419 7.322515 18.142914 NaN
2025-02-02 1.652371 2.141918 2.912142 4.404405 8.046561 23.637507 NaN
2025-02-09 1.592994 2.073803 2.837327 4.339551 8.122937 26.017365 NaN
2025-02-16 1.531804 2.000014 2.748302 4.236417 8.068829 27.622431 NaN
2025-02-23 1.481280 1.940776 2.680727 4.171264 8.115730 30.329356 NaN
2025-03-02 1.437723 1.890630 2.625866 4.127403 8.221039 34.145535 NaN
2025-03-09 1.415146 1.872787 2.626177 4.202575 8.739666 45.462626 NaN